Tuesday, January 20, 2009

Recent U.S. Treasury Press Releases and Statements

Bank of America sign at Fenway Park in Boston, MA.Image via Wikipedia. . . just the headlines henceforth . . .

01/16/2009 Treasury Issues Additional Executive Compensation Rules Under TARP

01/16/2009 Treasury, Federal Reserve and the FDIC
Provide Assistance to Bank of America

. . . Play ball (Bank of) America!


01/16/2009 U.S. Government Finalizes Terms of Citi Guarantee Announced in November
399 Park AvenueImage via Wikipedia




















01/16/2009 Treasury Announces TARP Investments in Chrysler Financial
Auburn Hills, MichiganImage via Wikipedia
01/14/2009 Treasury Releases Capital Purchase Program Term

01/13/2009 Treasury Provides TARP Funds to Local Banks

01/13/2009 Interim Asst Sec Kashkari Review of Financial Markets Crisis and TARP

01/08/2009 Interim Assistant Secretary for Financial Stability Neel Kashkari Remarks at Brookings Institution



Wednesday, January 7, 2009

My Inflation Epiphany . . .


. . . I subscribe to the classic definition of "inflation" which is simply an increase in the money supply. Inflation is NOT an increase in prices per se! Rising prices are a symptom of inflation. What's the distinction you might ask. There can be inflation but no visible effect on prices . . . at least for a time. There's an interesting take on this so read on . . .

Alan GreenspanImage via WikipediaThat distinction between inflation and rising prices can help you make better investment decisions. Inflation is the universal tax . . . anyone holding a money subject to inflation is suffering a de facto tax. Whomever is creating the inflation is likely to receive the benefit of creating free money in effect. The inflator dilutes the value of everyone else's money. That loss in value really is not lost, it goes into the pocket of the inflator. If someone is going to skim money off of your investments, don't you want to know about it?

Having argued for years there is, in fact, inflation I watched closely the Federal Reserve's money supply figures . . . M-1, M-2, and M-3. M-3 was the "big number" which was supposed to count all the money, e.g. dollar bills, bank accounts, etc. Most folks were outraged when the then Federal Reserve Bank man-in-charge, Alan Greenspan, eliminated the M-3 figure just about two years ago. That action was proof there wasThe components of the US money supply, express...Image via Wikipedia inflation and the government was trying to hide it . . . at least that was the new "view" because the old proof, M-3, was no longer being published. (Sometimes my head hurts when I try to explain things the government does.)

It occurred to me I have been misguided or at least inconsistent in my view of inflation. It so happens I also subscribe to the definition of "money" as having these three intrinsic qualities:

  • A unit of account . . . a standard way of measuring your money and counting it.
  • A medium of exchange . . . it is usable to buy and sell things loosely speaking.
  • A store of value . . . generally, most folks recognize it HAS retained its buying power and so they trust it will continue to do so in the future.
In my opinion, Gold best fits that definition and has a history of serving as money for about 6000 years. So, in the context of inflation, the "Store of Value" aspect of money is the point in question. One of the most often cited examples of Gold's staying power is it has always bought about 400 loaves of bread. That's not earth shattering for the high finance types. But, I find it interesting to think about being able to go back in time 6000 years with an ounce of Gold and being able to give it to the bread maker (wearing an animal skin). Without saying a word, that bread maker would start stacking up my 400 loaves.

Just how does Gold manage to store value and do the other things which make for good money? Gold's physical properties are very unique and it is very rare. Being rare and impossible, for now, to create from other materials, Gold makes for good money since it can't be inflated away . . . it is an especially good store of value.

This is where I had my "inflation epiphany" . . . Gold is money not the dollar or the other paper products of other countries. So, all these years I have been watching the wrong thing for inflation . . . the M-3 total of dollars. The true rate of inflation is about 1.5% to 2.0%. That range is generally agreed upon by the high finance and economic types. It also happens to be the increase in Gold "above ground" due to mining. I find it telling that the high finance and economic types also call Gold a barbarous relic . . . which way do they want it.

I admit to getting paid in dollars and using those dollars for living expenses. I don't carry gold around with me. So, I am interested in what those dollars will buy, I am concerned about increasing prices quite naturally. However, inflation is only 1.5% to 2% yet prices are rising. And, I have a really bad feeling we ain't seen nothing like what is coming. This leads me to believe I have done the right thing by storing "value" in Gold through the years. But, I have a few dollars also and I am interested in protecting those from inflation . . . this is where I run by you my interesting take on inflation without rising prices.

First off, it's really not inflation when talking about dollars. We have already established inflation in terms of Gold. This makes me question what a dollar is . . . it's not money and it is not subject to inflation . . . so, what is the dollar and all those other "currencies" around the world? I researched the word "dollar" and found it interesting the word comes from a town in Bohemia . . . "
Joachimstal". How do you get "dollar" out of that name? Apparently, there was a silver mine near the town from which coins were made. They were named the "Joachimstaler" which was eventually abbreviated "...Taler". As time pasted by and the English got involved "Taler" became "Daler". And the rest is history. Ironic isn't it . . . the origin of the dollar was a coin made of Silver, a close second to Gold as money. I'm going to cut the history lesson short except to say the U.S. Constitution provides for "coin" in Gold and Silver to be denominated in dollars. The bottom line is we have over the years allowed the U.S. Government to denominate paper in dollars. Take note, that is the U.S. Government not the U.S. Constitution. To my knowledge the U.S. Constitution has not been amended to permit anything other than "coin" in Gold and Silver. There has been and still is considerable debate as to the legitimacy of the paper dollar and the Federal Reserve Bank. I find it no coincident both the dollar's constitutionality AND value are in question at the same time.

The phrase "paper dollar" is important. Prior to creation of the
A picture of a wallet.Image via Wikipedia Federal Reserve Bank in 1913, U.S. Government paper money was, in fact, real money . . . it was in reality a certificate which could be exchanged for gold. You could send the Treasury your dollar certificate and they would send you a little bag of gold dust. Nowadays, the dollar is whatever the U.S. Government folks say it is. It is like someone being able to write all the IOU's they want because no one can collect on them. The holders of those IOU's can use them to exchange with others but they can never go back to the person who wrote it to exchange it for something. That is exactly how I see the dollar . . . an irredeemable IOU, an unlimited number of which the U.S. Government can write.

But, do we have to take them? Does anyone in the whole wide world have to take those dollar IOU's? Not really . . . expect anyone in the U.S. to whom a debt is owed. Remember the "legal tender" blurb on your dollars? That refers to a law which states anyone in the U.S. to whom a debt is owed must accept dollars when they are "tendered". So, if I understand it correctly, you can go into a restaurant asking if they will take dollars to pay for a meal and they can say . . . NO! There would be no debt yet. However, if you first eat your meal creating a debt to the restaurant, then they must take the dollars. That's another interesting thing . . . that dollars and debt are connected in a legal way.

Dollars and debt . . . there seems to be no end to either. Come to think about it they are interchangeable. You can pay debt with dollars and vice versa. Do you ever buy something with debt, a credit card that is? Then [we] pay off, most of the time but less so today, the debt with dollars. Ever pay a debt with a debt . . . as in using a credit card check to pay off another credit card? Dollars and debt . . . they are one in the same. Why is it this way and who benefits?

The U.S. Government benefits from the "dollar-debt". It does write those dollar IOU's and doesn't ever pay them off . . . that sounds like a benefit to me. The U.S. Government exchanges incredible sums of dollars and debt everyday. The U.S. Treasury creates the debt and the Federal Reserve Bank creates the dollars. What a great deal! I would like that deal if I could get it. My wife could create all kinds of debt and I could just create the dollars our of thin air to pay the debt. So, how does the U.S. Government get that deal? The U.S. Government also gets to create law. And, as we know not all those laws are constitutional. Dollars, debt, law . . . that is a powerful combo especially if there is no limit as in ignoring the U.S. Constitution.

One type of law is taxation. That is direct taxation where the U.S. Government says it will take your money and does so ultimately under the threat of a gun . . . or at the point of a gun as Neil Bortz likes to say. Dollar, debt, law, and the ability to directly tax away everything you own . . . and the 16th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution says it doesn't have to be done in a fair manner. You can imagine the U.S. Government could one day have us so far in debt we could never pay it off . . . especially if we don't have anything because it's been taxed away.

So, what is to stop the U.S. Government? You would think nothing since the U.S. Government is currently, in fact, the world champion debtor in world history. Never in history has a government created such debt that it exceeds the total wealth of the country. Just what can stop the U.S. Government? Our willingness to vote can do that. Our vote prevents the U.S. Government from taking all we have by way of taxes . . . direct taxes that is.

The dollar-debt-law combo though allows the U.S. Government to tax us indirectly. The dollar, and so everything we price in dollars, is only worth about 2% of what it would have been worth is 1913, the year the Federal Reserve was created. So why don't us voters stop this nonsense? Well, if you have made it this far in the blog post, the dollar-debt-law thingy can get fairly complicated . . . and I have gone to great lengths to offer up a simple treatment of the subject. I wonder how many readers I lost at the use of "M-3" above.

To be sure "dollar-debt-law" as I call it is a complex subject, much more so than outlined here. Do you find it interesting that the affairs of the people are not well understood by the people? I'm not the conspiracy type, but I do find it fascinating things have come to what they are. But, the question is why doesn't the U.S. Government inflate-tax us to death?

There are two reasons I can see. Firstly, we do use the vote when things go bad with the economy. That's how we got F.D.R., Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton, and now Barack Obama. Does it matter they are all democrats? I don't think so. Secondly, the U.S. Government does not have a monopoly on the "dollar-debt-law" scheme. Substitute dollar with Euro, Pound, Yen, etc. and the other players appear on the field. Essentially, most of the world governments are playing the perpetual "dollar-debt-law" game also.

Let's just use "dollar" since it is the world's reserve currency . . . originally that meant the dollar was supposed to be the standard, the anchor against which all other currencies were measured. That was when the dollar was backed by Gold which means Gold was really the standard. Interesting . . . we didn't have these frequent and wide economic swings when we backed our dollar by Gold.

So, that is why the U.S. Government can't just go wild and print infinite amounts of dollars. The dollar, as the reserve currency, is supposed to be the standard . . . whatever that means. There would come a time when the rest of the world would not play. But, are we there yet? You would think so since the U.S. Government is now openly professing to print whatever amount of money "is needed" in order to extend credit (debt) to anyone asking for it. About the only other thing the U.S. Government has is the military.

Go back to the above discussion about "the point of a gun". Did the U.S. Government invade Iraq because of WMD or was it because Sadam threatened the dollar-debt-law? There were no WMD's so what did Sadam do? To be sure he was a bad man who did very evil things. However, he was that way for 30 years. Sadam did within a few years prior to Golf War II attempt to sell Iraq's oil priced in Euros. Did that threaten the dollar? Why would the U.S. Government care if it did at all? There is the well known concept of the petro-dollar. That is there is a mutual agreement between the U.S. and Saudi Arabia to fix oil prices in dollars. The benefit to the U.S. is a tremendous source of demand for the dollar . . . the whole world uses and, indeed, must have oil. When priced in dollars, the demand for oil also translates to a demand for the dollar. And, the Saudi's get the protection of the U.S. Government. It is a fact we have gone to war three times in the middle east . . . Iraq twice, Afghanistan once, and Iran soon it seems. This topic may seem way out there but it is relevant to the discussion here. How does the U.S. Government create so many dollars and yet get others to take them?
We already know from the legal tender law the U.S. Government does want to put that dollar-debt off on someone else . . . remember the dollar is a irredeemable IOU. It should be intuitive others would not want to take those IOU's. Somehow though, of the total U.S. Government dollar-debt half of it is owned by foreigners.

So, here we are. My dollars, your dollars, and everyone else's dollars spead across the globe are U.S. Government debt. I don't like the idea of getting paid in irredeemable IOU's and I'm sure the rest of the world doesn't either. That in and of itself is a problem for the U.S. Government. The dollar-debt situation of the U.S. Government has come to world's attention through the years but more so with the recent credit bubble associated with housing. And, what is the U.S. Government's cure? Why that would be more dollar-debt of course. Remember, that dollar-debt is irredeemable . . . so much so the U.S. Government can not pay it off even if it wanted to do so. Where would it get another kind of money, real money to redeem that dollar-debt? It could impose confiscatory taxes but the voters would vote that idea out of office. There is Fort Knox. The U.S. Government has more Gold than the rest of the world's other governments combined. How about that? It appears the U.S. Government does not want to let go of its Gold. So, here is were the game gets more difficult.

What if the U.S. Government could just make those irredeemable IOU's just go away, destory them in effect. How is this for a possiblity? Make the dollar price of something go way up and then make the price collapse. That would destroy those IOU's. The recent housing and oil price collapse followed by stocks, banks, cars . . . you name it . . . seems to have destroyed trillions in so-called wealth recently. Even foreign currency investments in U.S. are worth much less simply due to the relative value of the dollar going down.

Yes, that is my interesting take on inflation with no increase in prices. The U.S. Government creates dollar-debt, fends it off on others, and then waits for, if not acts to cause, a collapse in dollar value to wipe out the dollar-debt. It sounds cynical to me too. But, it does seem to be what is happening. It was only eight years ago we had the dot-com bubble. Collectively, we a not a bunch of dummies here in the U.S. of A. After all who are the dummies? All I can say it is not us . . . we are the one getting others to take our worthless dollar-debt.

So, that is my inflation epiphany. There is little inflation . . . with Gold. The dollar-debt scheme is a con game and any dollars I have are trash. So, to the extent possible I'm keeping as much of my wealth (meager as it is) as possible in Gold with the objective of storing value. With a few bucks in materials and other "real physical stuff", I hope to make some gains to increase value. For another few months at most, I am maintaining my year old positions in U.S. Government bonds. Those I'll let go when Obama's version of the massive dollar-debt scheme kicks into gear . . . June 2009 perhaps.

Good luck and pray that my take on the situation is completely in left field.


Don't confuse us with the facts . . .


. . . to date the U.S. Treasury has released almost sixty statements about the TARP since mid September. I've made the effort to keep up with the U.S. Government propagandist and I grow weary . . .

Liers lying about the lies of other liers . . .

. . . "Lier -n: a person or thing that lies, as in wait or in ambush" . . .

Treasury Releases Congressional Report on
Emergency Economic Stabilization Act

Washington, DC – The Treasury Department today released the . . . report, required by section 105(a) of the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act. The first in the series of reports was delivered on December 5, 2008.



Organized Pandemonium . . . we have guildlines ya know!

Treasury Releases Guidelines for Targeted Investment Program

Washington – Treasury today released the program description for the Targeted Investment Program under which the Citigroup investment that was announced on Nov. 23 was made. This program description is required by Section 101(d) of the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act. Other EESA program descriptions are posted at [the U.S. Treasury Website].

Guidelines for Targeted Investment Program

The United States Department of the Treasury will determine eligibility of participants and allocation of resources under the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act (EESA) pursuant to the Targeted Investment Program. Financial Institutions (as defined in EESA) will be considered for participation in the Targeted Investment Program on a case-by-case basis. There is no deadline for participation in this program.

Justification

The objective of this program is to foster financial market stability and thereby to strengthen the economy and protect American jobs, savings, and retirement security. In an environment of high volatility and severe financial market strains, the loss of confidence in a financial institution could result in significant market disruptions that threaten the financial strength of similarly situated financial institutions and thus impair broader financial markets and pose a threat to the overall economy. The resulting financial strains could threaten the viability of otherwise financially sound businesses, institutions, and municipalities, resulting in adverse spillovers on employment, output, and incomes.

Eligibility Considerations

In determining whether an institution is eligible for participation, Treasury may consider, among other things:

  1. The extent to which destabilization of the institution could threaten the viability of creditors and counterparties exposed to the institution, whether directly or indirectly;
  2. The extent to which an institution is at risk of a loss of confidence and the degree to which that stress is caused by a distressed or illiquid portfolio of assets;
  3. The number and size of financial institutions that are similarly situated, or that would be likely to be affected by destabilization of the institution being considered for the program;
  4. Whether the institution is sufficiently important to the nation's financial and economic system that a loss of confidence in the firm's financial position could potentially cause major disruptions to credit markets or payments and settlement systems, destabilize asset prices, significantly increase uncertainty, or lead to similar losses of confidence or financial market stability that could materially weaken overall economic performance; and
  5. The extent to which the institution has access to alternative sources of capital and liquidity, whether from the private sector or from other sources of government funds.

In making these judgments, Treasury will obtain and consider information from a variety of sources, and will take into account recommendations received from the institution's primary regulator, if applicable, or from other regulatory bodies and private parties that could provide insight into the potential consequences if confidence in a particular institution deteriorated.

Form, Terms, and Conditions of Treasury Investment

Treasury will determine the form, terms, and conditions of any investment made pursuant to this program on a case-by-case basis in accordance with the considerations mandated in EESA. Treasury may invest in any financial instrument, including debt, equity, or warrants, that the Secretary of the Treasury determines to be a troubled asset, after consultation with the Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and notice to Congress. Treasury will require any institution participating in this program to provide Treasury with warrants or alternative consideration, as necessary, to minimize the long-term costs and maximize the benefits to the taxpayers in accordance with EESA. Treasury will also require any institution participating in the program to adhere to rigorous executive compensation standards. In addition, Treasury will consider other measures, including limitations on the institution's expenditures, or other corporate governance requirements, to protect the taxpayers' interests.

These program guidelines are being published in accordance with the requirements of Section 101(d) of EESA.

So much in so few words . . .


. . . this is perhaps the most succinctly shocking statement so far . . . in other words, the U.S. Treasury announcement below says . . . the big banks, that is those Federal Reserve member banks upon which the U.S. Government relies to foist the greatest money fraud of all time, will get tax payer money in an attempt to simply manipulate public perception. Our U.S. Government is admitting the banks have bad loans but for us to believe but that it is just the "system". Folks, the "system" is the Federal Reserve system in fact. Fantastical . . .


Treasury Releases Emergency Economic Stabilization Report

Washington – Treasury today released the attached report, required by section 102 of the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act. As required by section 102(a), Treasury established the Asset Guarantee Program to provide guarantees for assets held by systemically significant financial institutions that face a high risk of losing market confidence due in large part to a portfolio of distressed or illiquid assets.

This program would be utilized as needed to improve market confidence in a systemically significant institution and in financial markets broadly and it is not anticipated that the program will be made widely available.




. . . Do you see triangles? Well, there are none . . . The U.S. Government will have spent trillions of dollars to trick your "perception" when all you need do is draw something simple like the image above . . .


Non-answers to Non-questions . . .

Treasury Releases Responses to Congressional Oversight Panel

Washington, DC – The Treasury Department today released responses to questions posed in the Congressional Oversight Panel's first report on implementation of the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act.